St.Petersburg Economic seminar (HSE, EU, PDMI) on November, 21: Zuzana Fungacova (Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT))

Topic: Political Cycles and Bank Lending in Russia
Date & Time: November, 21; 18:00 - 19:30
Venue: St Petersburg, Fontanka river embankment, 27, PDMI RAS, Marble hall (2nd floor)

We invite you to participate in the St.Petersburg Economic seminar (HSE, EU, PDMI) on November, 21.

Zuzana Fungacova (Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)) will give a talk on Political Cycles and Bank Lending in Russia.

Time: 18:00 - 19:30
Venue: St Petersburg, Fontanka river embankment, 27, PDMI RAS, Marble hall (2nd floor)

Abstract: Electoral autocracies provide possibilities and incentives to exert pressure on banks, both state-owned and private, so that lending would increase before elections. We employ monthly data on individual banks to study whether Russian banks increase their lending before presidential elections during the period 2004-2018. We find that all Russian banks increase lending before presidential elections. This result stands for all loans but also separately for firm and household loans. State-owned banks do not significantly differ from private banks in their lending behavior in election times. We test that the increase of loans before elections is not related to exogenous economic events: the surge in loans is followed by higher amount of bad loans in the following year, while increased lending concerns predominantly larger banks and banks most involved in the lending activity. Our main conclusion is that all banks increase lending before presidential elections in the Russian electoral autocracy. This supports the view that the authorities in an electoral autocracy can influence lending of both private and state-owned banks.


Calendar: https://tinyurl.com/spbecon
Research seminar webpage: https://spb.hse.ru/en/scem/ilgt/hse-eusp-seminar